Watford vs Manchester City Prediction, match analysis, statistics

Date: 04.12.2021

League: England Premier League

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals

After the unlikely success of Manchester United, 4-1 at home, Watford failed to perform at the same level in the next two games, losing 4-2 at Leicester, then being defeated by Chelsea at home with 1-2.

Possible Lineup: Bachmann; Ngakia, Troost-Ekong, Cathcart, Rose; Kucka; Dennis, Sissoko, Cleverley, Pedro; King

Manchester City

The last wrong move by Guardiola’s band came more than a month ago when they were defeated by Crystal Palace at home. Since then they have played six games, winning them all, beating Club Brugge, Manchester United, Everton, PSG, West Ham, and Aston Villa, scoring at least twice, scoring a total of 15 goals.

Manchester City is still one of the strongest teams in Europe, being well above the level of its opponent, and will most likely prevail in this dispute.

I expect the show, Watford being a team that plays open, which is why it scores quite often, but also receives many goals.

From the PariMatch betting offer, I chose over 2.5 goals at the odds of 1.47. (Best I have found)

The following statistics and predictions are based on at least 7 past games.

Guide:

  • open a percentage to odds converter
  • find the market you think has high enough chance for your needs (like 60%-70%-80%)
  • convert the percentage to odds (70% => 1.43)
  • find a bookie that is offering a significantly better odd (like 1.50-1.55)
  • use a proper staking method: at least flat stakes

Statistics and Predictions First-half

Statistics and Predictions Full-time

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Sam @ Sportssmartbetting

I have been a professional sports bettor for almost 8 years. This blog was created to share my experience and knowledge. I started building up my betting capital with matched betting, followed by arbitrage betting and switched to full-time value betting. Each software and betting strategy I promote was tested or used for a longer period by myself.