You are currently viewing 9 Tricks to Beat The Bookies With Math in 2022

9 Tricks to Beat The Bookies With Math in 2022

Is it even possible to beat the bookies?

The majority of bettors are not even thinking about the possibility of beating the bookmakers in the long run. If you are reading this article, you are on the right path. 

Yes, beating the bookmakers with many different betting strategies is possible. Some are based on mathematics while others have long years of experience or statistics.

But the most important thing you need to accept is that if you want to profit from sports betting, you need to think differently to beat the bookies. 

soccer football betting highest odds

Best tricks & tips to beat the bookies using math

Summary:

  1. Follow the right betting tipsters
  2. Use football database of statistics
  3. Take advantage of bookie bonuses
  4. Find odds differences between bookies
  5. Find bets with a decent value
  6. Stop using accumulator bets
  7. Learn about trading and betting exchanges
  8. Be a master of one sport
  9. Use a proper staking strategy

The most important thing you need to know is that every betting outcome and odds are generated based on mathematical forecasting. These are based on historical data and available information about teams and players.

The following strategies are the best techniques to beat the bookies always or in the long run, depending on your goal.

1. Follow the right betting tipsters

The internet is full of fake tipsters, prediction sites manipulating their results. Even in this situation betting, tipsters seem to be more popular than ever. 

I’m sure you have already tried many Facebook groups or Instagram tipsters. If you are lucky, you haven’t opted in for any paid subscription for these fake betting gurus.

best football tipster tipstrr

Winning in the long run and beating the bookies with tipsters is only possible if you follow the right ones. Most of the time, these can be found on platforms with a long and authentic background.

Beat the bookies with football predictions and tipsters

Following the right tipster can be the easiest way to win against bookies. Your only task is to have push notifications allowed on your phone, and when the tipster is posting a prediction, you take action.

I would like to mention that placing the bets on the same odds or even higher as they were posted is a strong profitability factor. Many bettors are making the mistake of not betting right away, and they experience a major odds dropping. 

Tipstrr Review

Unfortunately, a big part of bettors is placing the bets even with a big odds difference. We need to understand and accept that beating the bookies with the help of tipsters is only possible if you can use the right odds.

Best betting tipster site for beating the bookmakers

I have tested and used Tipstrr, and I think they are the most transparent tipster platform. Tipstrr has many verified individual tipsters who are motivated to offer quality picks. 

You can also check my Tipstrr Review.

This website can be profitable only if its users are satisfied. For this, every tipster has to be a winner and beat the bookies in the long run. 

Many of them are offering predictions for free, which might be a good way to start. But if you want to get good predictions, following the profitable bettors is almost essential.

2. Use Football database of statistics

There are many sites and businesses on the internet that offer databases of statistics. If you are using the right tool, you can beat the bookies fairly easily. 

Of course, there no statistical tool can help someone with no experience in this industry. 

I have used a similar tool called PlayThePercentage. They are analyzing the history of tens of thousands of matches every year. 

play the percentage football statistics prediction

Check my detailed review of this football statistics database.

After subscribing, you will get access to their betting strategy too, which:

  • has generated 18 thousand Pounds sterling profits in 8 months
  • based on 4000 bets
  • it’s based on statistics from their site
  • proved with a complete history in an excel file – matches + stakes)
football betting statistics database Play the percentage

I strongly advise having a look at their services. You can even try them for free with the one-week free trial. But similar to other betting strategies, the one offered by PlayThePercentage can beat the bookies only in the long run. 

So, do not have too many expectations from the free version. You need to opt-in for at least 1-2 months for a healthy result. Don’t be afraid. Even with low stakes, you will make several times more than the subscription fee.

3. Take advantage of bookie bonuses

Bookmakers and casinos are offering bonuses for a good reason. These are the best methods to get new customers and keep the existing ones returning. Free bets, deposit bonuses, and free spins are some of the biggest reasons many bettors become addicted.

But there are betting tricks to beat the bookies and withdraw these bonuses without risking losing them. This betting technique is called matched betting. Unfortunately, there is a soft bookmaker that will support and allow obvious matched betting activities. 

oddsmonkey matched betting win on football banner

This method allows you to beat every bookmaker, and that’s why they are „gubbing” or limit your account if you get caught with it. The good news for you is that you can easily stay under the radar if you are following some basic rules. 

Services like: OddsMonkey or Profit Accumulator are your best chances for withdrawing these bonuses without getting caught. They are focusing on teaching everyone to take these free profits off the table. 

You can open a free account at both of these services, and you can start learning right away, thanks to their onboarding guides and videos.

4. Find odds differences between bookies

In almost every country, many bookies have legal licenses. You probably already noticed that there is a slight odds difference between bookies. Arbitrage betting is the strategy based on math that is perfect to beat the bookies every time.

It’s a common act that bookies are copying odds from each other. But many times they can’t keep up with new information. In these cases, you will experience significant differences between bookies.

Tipstrr Review

It’s not uncommon that one of them is offering an odd of 1.80 for a player to win, while others can offer even 2.10 or 2.20 for the same outcome.

These sure bets are one of the oldest possibilities in sports betting to harvest guaranteed profits. By covering both outcomes, you can always beat the bookmaker that made a mistake. With the right stake, you can take a guaranteed profit no matter which outcome wins. 

Check my following articles if you are interested in learning more: how to find arbitrage bets or arbitrage bet finder.

5. Find bets with a decent value

There is a betting trick that can beat the bookies in the long run, called value betting. It is very similar to finding arbitrage bets. 

The real difference between these two strategies is that in the case of value betting, you are not covering the other outcome. Spotting betting opportunities where the odds are overpriced is also an old technique.

Many services are displaying value bets. But why can these bets generate long-term profits?

As I already mentioned, every outcome has a real probability. Some bookies are better at figuring these true odds out. These are called sharp bookmakers. Pinnacle is the most famous for offering the most accurate lines on almost every market and sport.

If you can beat their lines with higher odds at your local bookmaker, you can make a healthy profit with it. 

I have a dedicated article for the best value betting software. You can see a short betting history of my basketball value betting strategy below.

my basketball value betting history

You can notice fairly big variances caused by losing streaks. But in the long run, I’m always able to beat the bookmakers with value betting.

6. Stop using accumulator bets

Parlay bets are the most famous betting type not only for bettors but for bookmakers too. No matter what kind of betting strategy you follow, mixing it with many parlay bets, bookies will think that you are an average bettor. Do you know why?

Because based on statistics, you have no chance of winning in the long run if you are placing only accumulator bets (except with overpriced odds).

Each odd a bookmaker offers includes their profit margin. Using accumulators, the odds are adding up, but these profit margins too. 

You might win 1-2 of these parlay bets, but in the long run, you will fail for sure.

7. Learn about trading and betting exchanges

The biggest advantage of betting exchanges and sports trading is that you don’t have to beat the bookmaker. Your only task is to beat another bettor.

This way of betting is opening new opportunities. In general, the odds are closer to the real probability, so winning, in the long run, is more possible. 

Many bettors have made a fortune by trading on platforms like Betfair or other famous exchanges. This technique requires more knowledge and learning about sports. But it has a big advantage: the bookies won’t limit your account.

8. Be a master of one sport

I’ve been betting since 2013. I have shifted from football to tennis, then back to football, and then to basketball. I succeeded in beating the bookies on all of these sports. But I became a professional in basketball betting. 

I know certain strategies, bookie weaknesses that can be exploited even without betting software. This kind of knowledge requires a long journey and attention. 

But if you are value betting and using statistics software and databases, you can figure out some good betting tricks yourself.

9. Use a proper staking strategy

Betting without a good or at least simple staking strategy will ruin your profitability in the long run. Even a flat stake is better than using inconsistent stakes.

The results of a good strategy can be surprising (even more than 50%).

Can you ever beat the bookies?

Generally speaking, there are two kinds of approaches for winning against bookies. The first approach is following betting techniques that can generate guaranteed profits from every bet. The other strategy is beating the odds in the long run with different tools, software, or statistical databases.

The problem with beating the bookies is that almost everyone will make your goal harder. The majority of them won’t let you win as much money as you want. 

Beating the bookies is not a new or secret weapon of a small group. There are hundreds of articles on the internet covering these strategies. The downside of this open information sharing is that every bookie can access them. 

So, beating the bookmakers with these strategies will be noticed every time with sophisticated betting software and algorithm. 

Unfortunately, if you do not follow certain strict betting rules, you can get your account limited quickly.

Conclusion: Tips and tricks for how to beat the bookies

  1. Follow the right betting tipsters
  2. Use football database of statistics
  3. Take advantage of bookie bonuses
  4. Find odds differences between bookies
  5. Find bets with a decent value
  6. Stop using accumulator bets
  7. Learn about trading and betting exchanges
  8. Be a master of one sport
  9. Use a proper staking strategy

FAQ

Can you actually beat the bookies?

There are many strategies based on mathematics that can beat the bookmakers with each bet placed. Some of them are matched betting or arbitrage betting. Other similar strategies can also beat the bookies.

What to do to beat the bookies?

Bettors who want to beat the bookies need to focus on mathematical betting strategies and overpriced betting odds. These are offering a loophole to beat the bookies even in the long run.

How to beat bookies using maths?

The best strategies based on maths are: arbitrage betting, matched betting, value betting, etc. Each of these are based on overpriced markets and odds difference between bookmakers.

How to beat the bookies on horse racing, football and other sports?

Beating the bookies is possible every sport. Each bookmaker is offering overprices and wrong odds on every sport. You can take advantage of these by using the proper bookmaker services or statistical tools.

Sam @ Sportssmartbetting

I have been a professional sports bettor for almost 8 years. This blog was created to share my experience and knowledge.