Mathematical tennis betting strategies and systems such as value betting or arbitrage betting can offer the most sustainable results, even for a living.
You can spot many opportunities on tennis for these profitable betting techniques due to fast-moving odds and player performance changes from one day/moment to another.
Tennis betting strategies based on mathematics are the easiest methods to beat the bookmakers and remain profitable even in the long run.
In this article, I would like to share my experience and knowledge about betting techniques and systems I used in tennis to buy my first home.
Best tennis betting strategies and systems
The best strategies for tennis are based either on simple mathematics or a deep understanding of players.
In this article, I will focus only on tips and tricks each tennis bettor can replicate without having to know something about the players themselves.
Tennis betting systems in this article:
These are the most simple and easy-to-learn strategies.
I already have a lot of articles where I cover each relevant question about these, so if one of them got your attention and is perfect for your risk tolerance, learn everything before you start.
1. Matched betting on tennis: easiest tennis betting strategy
Matched betting is the most beginner-friendly and easy tennis betting technique.
It can generate a guaranteed profit each time you place a bet because it is based on taking advantage of bookmaker bonuses without risking any of your funds.
Most bookie offers have some roll-over requirements. But with matched betting, you can complete these without risking losing your initial deposit or the bonus itself.
Tennis is my top favourite sport for completing these requirements. Most of the matches or sets end in a short time if you are placing in-play bets.
The faster a bet is finished, the more times you can use your money for new bets.
Taking advantage of this technique won’t allow you to make large profits from tennis. In the first year of matched betting, you can make a monthly 600 – 1200 euros, depending on a lot of factors.
Sounds interesting? Check my matched betting guide, and you can start taking advantage of these bonus offers.
The main advantage you will experience is the sustainability and the lack of risk you need to take.
Oddsmonkey is offering a great service for making your learning period shorter. They are supporting your matched betting activity even at the beginner stage.
You can read my OddsMonkey Review here to find out more about their services. Or alternatively, you can check my article on oddsmatcher to read about their competitors as well.
2. Follow tennis betting tipsters with a long betting history
Following even the best tipster service is not a betting strategy, but it’s a viable option to follow tennis tipsters. The beauty of this sport is that you need to learn less about certain players than in football betting.
I know guys who made hundreds of thousands of euros betting on tennis based only on their knowledge about players.
If you are following a tipster like this, you can make a decent profit in the long run.
Their only way to earn from this tipster service is if they are offering accurate predictions. These must be profitable in the long run too.
You need to follow the right tipster who is handling this as a business. This way you can be almost certain that you will make decent profits in the long run.
I’m following a tipster platform for these purposes. Tipstrr is offering the possibility for individual bettors to offer predictions for their subscribers.
Find a tipster who:
- Has a betting history of at least 500 bets
- Uses odds over 1.60 at least
- Has an ROI (return on investment) of over 5-7%
In team sports, it’s not enough to know the main players. You need to follow the championship standings, motivations, new coaches, team owners, etc.
As an additional tip, I would like to mention the importance of betting at the highest odds possible every time.
Using a second or third bookie that has slightly higher odds in the same market will drastically boost your profits in the long run.
3. Arbitrage betting: tennis betting system for sure profits
This strategy is based on finding wrong odds, and overpriced markets with the help of odds comparison services like sure bet finders. The bookmakers are making a lot of mistakes in tennis.
The basic idea is to find these mistakes, bet on them, and cover the other outcome at another bookmaker.
Those can cost them a lot because smart bettors are taking advantage of these loopholes.
This way, no matter which outcome wins, if you calculated the stakes right, you will make a guaranteed profit on every tennis bet.
In the following review, you can read how to find free arbitrage bets.
For beginners, this technique might be dangerous for in-play tennis. The odds are moving very fast, and if you don’t know the right moment to place your bets, you might lose some money.
But if you are willing to learn enough, you will have better chances to delay getting limited by the bookies.
They don’t like bettors who are smart enough to spot their weak odds and lines. Unfortunately for them, spotting a bet placed on wrong odds in live betting is fairly hard.
If you are fast enough, you can make a decent and guaranteed profit from tennis.
If you are looking for a decent side income source with almost zero risk of losing your bets, sure betting is the tennis betting system you are looking for.
Advantages of this tennis betting system
- You can place many bets on a single event; you can make more profits in a short time
- The risk of losing money is almost non-existent if you don’t make a mistake
- You can have pretty high maximum stakes on bigger WTA and ATP tennis tournaments
- Bookies are making many mistakes in live events
- Betting sites are less likely to notice your activity if you place bets on live events
Downsides of this tennis betting system
- Requires experience with tennis
- Odds are moving fast
- Not each sure bet finder is including tennis
Check the best sure bet finders and start arbitrage betting on tennis now.
4. Value betting on tennis: long-term betting strategy & software
This strategy is also based on spotting overpriced outcomes. If you have the goal to make a decent income even for a living from tennis betting, this could be your best option.
It is very similar to arbitrage betting.
Your basic task will be spotting the outcome with the wrong odds. With this strategy, you won’t need to cover the other outcome.
If you can pick bets where the odds are higher than their real probability to win, you can make good profits in the long run.
If you are not familiar with value betting, you might be confused right now. Finding these odds might seem like a hard task that requires a lot of experience.
Well, this is not the whole truth. There are several methods to find these opportunities without knowing too much about tennis.
A lot of services are offering value bets for tennis and for other sports too. I already mentioned Pinnacle Sports as one of the best bookmakers for getting sharp odds.
Tennis odds comparison between your bookie and Pinnacle will guide you in the right direction for finding the wrong odds. They are not the only ones who can offer these true odds.
Sometimes Bet365 and other soft bookmakers like WilliamHill can have decent lines.
RebelBetting is one of the best services for value betting. In the following article, I’m writing about the best ways to win betting on tennis including value betting as well as one of the top techniques.
The easiest method to begin value betting on tennis is by using scanner services. Down below, you can find my detailed table about the best arbitrage and value betting scanners.
Your only task is to set up the filters with the bookies you need and start making money.
Advantages of tennis value bets:
- The most profitable strategy you can practice
- If you follow value betting tools, you can place tennis value bets even without previous knowledge about players
- Does not require a big starting capital
- Most bookies have a decent amount of markets for tennis
- Almost each betting site covers the main tennis tournaments
- Bookies make bigger mistakes in tennis
Downsides of tennis value betting:
- You will face longer losing streaks
- The average maximum stake is lower than in football for example
- Requires you to be faster than at other sports because odds change faster
5. Tennis betting strategy on dropping odds
I think tennis is one of the best sports if you are looking for different betting strategies. The odds are moving very fast before the match and in-play too.
These shifting lines and prices are opening insane opportunities for smart bettors. Even the best bookies don’t have the resource and knowledge to figure out the real chance of each tennis player.
Of course, they can offer a fairly accurate odd, but in the end, the bettors will always have more information.
This will always mean that a sharp bettor can spot the wrong odds. If you don’t have enough knowledge about players and calculating the real odds, don’t be afraid.
- Many sites are offering services for these strategies.
- They are scanning every bookmaker and odds movement.
- If a player has an odd that is wrong there will be at least one bookmaker that has better information about it.
One of these bookies is Pinnacle. They were and still are the best at figuring out the sharp lines. Here you can check my Pinnacle Sports Review.
Every time a bookie is slow in reacting, they will offer an overpriced odd. Your only task is to follow bookies like Pinnacle and spot the opportunities when the odds are dropping enough.
In this situation, your only task is to find a bookie that has a slow reaction time. This way you can place a bet before the odds could drop. This tennis betting strategy is called „betting on dropping odds”, and it’s very similar to value betting.
6. Tennis betting strategy for pre-match
A lot of systems and betting techniques are based on placing bets before the start of the event.
When I’m writing about profitable ways of beating the bookmakers, I mean mathematical betting strategies.
Based on my experience a lot of experienced punters are putting their trust in tennis betting analytics. Most of them are not successful in the long run.
The main reason for this is to avoid using the best odds possible for their picks. Those who can spot odds holding real value are the ones who can be successful in the long run.
Betting on tennis or any sport for a living is a dream for a lot of gamblers. Almost every punter is following some kind of strategy in the hope of winning.
Many pre-match techniques are following sharp lines or true odds offered by Pinnacle Sports.
It’s a general opinion that they generate the sharpest odds, closest to the real probability.
This is the main reason why so many prediction sites and tipsters are using them as a guideline.
For pre-match tennis betting, comparing each bookmaker with their lines is a proven, working system.
7. Live tennis betting system
The most profit can be made on in-play tennis betting. The biggest odds movements are generated by underdogs who can offer surprises even for bookmakers.
Major odds movements and good opportunities are caused by unexpected events like game breaks or quality serving. Professionals are looking for these wrong odds and lines.
Their basic strategy is based on taking prices that are higher than the real probability to win them.
Based on mathematics, if you are placing bets on overpriced markets, you will end up in profit in the long run.
A lot of betting strategies are based on wrong odds. The most famous and simple techniques are arbitrage and value betting.
8. Handicap betting on tennis
Based on my experience, Pinnacle is offering the sharpest betting lines for handicap markets on tennis. When I was value betting on tennis, I used their lines for figuring out the real probability of an outcome.
I checked the handicap lines at Pinnacle, and if a bookie offered significantly higher odds I took advantage of them. This market is still offering hundreds of betting opportunities when tennis is on.
The most important tennis betting advice I can give for handicap betting on tennis is the following:
- Find a bookie that is offering in-play markets for tennis
- Use a bookmaker scanner service (like BetBurger) and compare your bookies with Pinnacle
- Each handicap arbitrage opportunity above 1.5% is worth your money
9. Over/under and handicap betting in set
It is very similar to handicap betting, but with a little twist. Asian handicap betting bookies are making many mistakes in these markets. The beauty of this is the big number of entry points.
Having at least two sets is giving you the chance to spot many overpriced opportunities. If a bookie is making a mistake at one market, in 80-90% of cases you will find overpriced odds on the other one too.
Your only task is to choose which strategy you want to use:
- Arbitrage betting for instant and guaranteed profit
- Value betting for bigger long-term profits (but taking risks)
10. Next game betting on tennis
It’s one of my favourite tennis betting strategies. I have used this market for every betting system. If you want your money to work faster, this should be your number one tennis market.
In most cases, your bets will be finished in under 1.5 minutes. You won’t have to wait hours for a match to finish.
Even the shortest tennis match can offer 12 entry points on the next game market. Of course, it has many downsides too. Even Pinnacle can’t figure out every time who might be the winner.
The smallest emotion, the injury of a player can have a large effect on this market. I often saw tennis players with intense emotions.
Just a hint: if the player is crying during the game, he/she won’t break that service. Been there, and profited from that.
Tennis betting tips
Tennis is one of the best sports for betting. I have been betting on tennis since 2013, and I can proudly say that this sport offered me the most betting opportunities and profits. In this topic, I would like to share some important tennis betting tips.
It has a lot of characteristics that are allowing even beginner bettors to make decent profits on it.
A lot of professional bettors made a fortune just from it.
If you are a beginner in betting, learning about a sport, players, or teams could seem difficult and time-consuming.
For some strategies this is true. A lot of professional gamblers based their profitability on their knowledge and experience in a certain sport.
Their edge against bookmakers comes from a long period of learning and sometimes even losing money.
1. Take advantage of tennis being a singles sport
It seems even the best crypto bookmakers are less likely to keep up with every piece of information they might need. Missing minor information can have a big effect on the outcome of a match.
I know many bettors who followed the top 100 tennis players for many years. Knowing the personality of a player and the way they react to certain situations is a gold mine.
A small example would be Djokovic or Nadal. They might lose 1 or 2 sets in bigger tournaments. But they are like robots. If they are not injured, they easily come back and destroy their opponent.
2. Profit from fast-moving tennis odds
The players are gaining points in a relatively fast way. In tennis, you will see surprise points and game-winners (breaks). These moments are generating opinion differences among bookmakers.
Overpriced odds and outcomes can be used as a loophole for guaranteed money. Tennis is one of the best sports for these kinds of betting techniques. This dropping odds strategy is the basis of most smart betting techniques.
Even a single match can create over 20-50 entry points for great tennis betting systems.
3. Getting specialized in tennis betting
You will have to gather information about only two players in singles tennis matches. If you are using the right sources, you can predict an outcome even better than a bookmaker.
I already mentioned people who follow many players. But knowing the dynamics of tennis is also enough to profit from it. After several months of arbitrage betting on tennis, you can figure out how certain markets and odds are moving.
If you see a player being destroyed, but the odds for the break are not dropping enough, it can create great opportunities. I think BetBurger is by far the best sure bet finder for in-play tennis betting.
4. Focus on In-play tennis betting strategies
If you are following a tennis event in play, you will notice a lot of opportunities for making money. Many strategies for tennis are based on live betting by watching the stream and reacting to certain mistakes or events.
I earned most of my profits on tennis in-play betting. Bookies tend to make insane amounts of mistakes while the players have fluctuating performances.
As an example, if an underdog player starts breaking 2-3 times in a row, many betting sites undervalue the possibility of an upcoming break.
This situation is true in the case of the favourite player but on a smaller level.
5. Wait until a break
Don’t place bets while they are still playing. The odds can move in any direction. If you are not lucky enough you might lose a good portion of your profits.
I made the mistake of being greedy after seeing massive wrong odds. If you are value-betting, it might be a possible option to place bets on them. But for other strategies, like arbitrage betting, this is a guaranteed route to disaster.
6. Place tennis bets when the number of games is odd
The breaks between games are significantly longer when the number of games in that set is odd (2-1; 3-2; 4-1; etc.).
Both tennis players are taking a longer rest, so you have more time to make calculations and place your bets.
7. Know which outcome has the wrong odds
This will require more experience and knowledge about tennis. But if you can spot the wrong odds, you can place the first leg of your arbitrage bet on the overpriced market.
This way you will reduce the chance of running into dropping odds on the other outcome.
As an example: you place your first bet on Djokovic on odds of 2.10.
His opponent Tsitsipas originally had an odd of 2 (which was wrong). But unfortunately, you place your first bet too late, and the odds on Tsitsipas dropped to 1.80.
No matter who wins you will lose 3% of your total stakes.
If you can spot the overpriced market (in this case Tstitsipas), your first bet should cover that outcome. And the risk for the odds to drop on the other outcome will decrease to almost 0.
Check my detailed review of the best arbitrage betting software.
How do you bet on tennis?
A lot of punters are following tipsters or prediction sites. This way of betting on tennis can be fairly profitable even in the long run.
But to avoid scam sites and bad tipsters you should be aware of some basic rules. Here you can read about tipsters and their role in the betting industry.
Generally speaking, there are two main tactics for tennis betting:
- Pre-match betting
- In-play betting
Those are used by thousands of professional bettors. If you are willing to learn, you can bet on tennis for a living.
Tennis was the first sport I realized significant profits on. For a lot of people, tennis can seem boring to watch but for me, it was the most interesting and fun sport to follow and to bet on.
The fact that I succeeded in making tennis betting a profitable income source makes it more likeable for me.
My basic betting strategy back then was arbitrage betting but later I realized that it is more profitable to switch to value betting with tennis betting too.
Is tennis good for betting strategies?
Tennis is one of the best sports for betting. Sports like football have way more attention and followers than Tennis. But in my experience with a good strategy, tennis can generate more profit.
A lot of punters gained enough information about tennis players. This knowledge can guarantee them an edge over the bookmakers.
In short, some bettors have enough experience to decide in a more accurate way the chance of a tennis player winning the match.
Gaining that amount of knowledge about tennis can take a while and it needs a lot of experience. Fortunately, as I said we can find bookmakers that can offer more accurate odds than the others.
But why is tennis so good for betting?
- It is easy to understand and learn the rules
- Most bookmakers are covering every main tournament
- Tennis is in the top 5 of the most followed sports so the statistics are really accurate and the bookmakers are letting you place big stakes
- Strategies like Arbitrage betting and Value betting are harder to notice in live betting
- The matches are finished relatively fast, so after a winner bet you can place new bets faster
Most profitable tennis betting strategies
Generally speaking, tennis rules are easy to learn and we can find many statistics about players.
If you are practising mathematical betting strategies like Arbitrage betting or Value betting then tennis can cause your hard times.
In pre-match betting, every betting technique is easier to follow. The odds are not moving so fast, so you have more time to make calculations and decisions.
If we are talking about how easy tennis betting is in-play, well there are differences between strategies.
1. Arbitrage betting in tennis
Arbitrage betting is very similar to value betting. It is based on the same technique of finding overpriced odds, but in this case, the bettor covers the other outcome at another bookmaker.
This betting technique is generating guaranteed profit with very low risk. On the other hand, in live tennis betting, the odds are moving really fast.
Arbitrage betting requires enough time to calculate the right stakes and place bets for both outcomes. So, betting on tennis with this strategy is not easy.
You have to find the right time, for example in breaks, to place your bets.
2. Value betting in tennis
Value betting, on the other hand, is an easier task for a bettor. You do not need to calculate stakes. Your task is to find value bets and determine whether they are true values.
Besides these, you just need to place the bets with a stake that you already know from your basic money management strategy.
If you are planning to start value betting with tennis or in general, have a look at the Software that RebelBetting has to offer. For a fair price, you will get a scanning service that will boost your income.
Check my detailed RebelBetting review and learn more about how to profit from value betting.
How do you always win in tennis betting?
The only betting strategy that can guarantee profit from every bet placed is arbitrage betting.
As I already mentioned, this betting technique is based on finding overpriced markets and covering the other outcome at a different bookmaker.
The fact that you always win with this betting strategy can make it seem the best one you ever heard about. But the fact is that it has a lot of downsides too.
The biggest disadvantage of sure betting on tennis and on sports, in general, is that bookmakers don’t like smart bettors.
Making guaranteed money from sports betting and always winning in tennis betting makes you a bettor who is not welcomed by most bookmakers.
Most bookies are limiting maximum stakes, closing accounts, and taking away bonus offers if they catch you for arbitrage betting.
You can find more detailed information about how to find arbitrage bets and how to avoid being limited in these articles.
Working tennis betting strategy:
Lately, I found out that Pinnacle is not the only one with accurate, sharp odds. Some bookmakers like Bet365 are getting great pros in defining the real probability for tennis players to win.
Even in live betting, their odds are getting smarter and sharper. Personally, I don’t like placing bets before the start of the match.
A lot of betting strategies are offering good ROI (return on investment) for tennis betting in pre-match, but in my experience live betting has more advantages:
- Odds are moving fast, so bookmakers are making more mistakes
- In tennis especially they can’t flag your account so fast for dropping odds betting
My most basic tennis strategy for live value betting:
- Compare odds with Pinnacle using scanner services
- I’m taking value bets above 1% but below 6% to avoid a fast limitation
- Small tournaments like Challengers or ITF are a “No go zone”. Your maximum stakes will be limited faster
- I don’t take odds under 1.40 and above 3 to reduce the variance
- Placing odds in breaks between games will make your value bet more accurate
Find out which software is the best for your needs. Down below you can check my detailed comparison table of the best arbitrage and value betting sites.
Tennis is one of the best sports for betting. The fast-moving odds while in-play betting on tennis offers many overpriced odds and excellent entry points for tennis betting strategies.
Yes. Tennis is one of the best sports for online betting due to the fact of big differences between players and fast-moving odds while the matches are in play. Tennis betting offers the best opportunities when unforeseen events happen.
Value betting is the most profitable tennis betting strategy. You can make enough profit even for a living by spotting overpriced markets and wrong betting lines. Strategies based on in-play tennis can generate the most profits in the long run.
Value betting is the easiest and most profitable strategy to bet on tennis and win big in the long run. It is based on placing bets on outcomes that have higher odds than the possibility of that tennis outcome.
Tennis rules are easy to learn and we can find a ton of statistics about players. But betting on tennis is not the easiest way to make money. The odds are moving fairly fast while the match is in-play. Pre-match tennis betting is easier because you have more time to figure out the real chance of an outcome.
The only betting strategy that can guarantee profits from every tennis bet placed is arbitrage betting. Tennis is a good sport for sure betting and always making profits. However, you need some experience to spot outcomes with true value.