Southampton vs Brighton Predictions, match analysis, statistics

Date: 04.12.2021

League: England Premier League

Prediction: Under 2.5 goals

Southampton is going through a bad period, in terms of form, coming after three games without success, losing to Norwich City and Liverpool, drawing with Leicester.

I mention, however, that they are undefeated in the last four games played at home, in which they managed two victories and two draws.

Possible Lineup: McCarthy; Livramento, Salisu, Lyanco, Walker-Peters; Redmond, Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Elyounoussi; Adams, Armstrong

Brighton’s last success came at the end of September when they defeated Swansea in the English League Cup.

Since then, they have played no less than ten games, seven of which ended in a draw, as was the case in the last round of the championship, in the duel with West Ham.

Possible Lineup: Sanchez; Lamptey, Dunk, Duffy, Cucurella; Bissouma, Moder; March, Gross, Trossard; Maupay

In terms of value, the two teams are extremely close, so it’s hard to say who will win this match. I’m expecting an extremely balanced match, which is not excluded to end even with a white draw, considering the fact that on the field there will be two teams that do not impress in the offensive.

From the PariMatch betting offer, I chose under 2.5 goals at the odds of 1.73.

The following statistics and predictions are based on at least 7 past games.

Guide:

  • open a percentage to odds converter
  • find the market you think has high enough chance for your needs (like 60%-70%-80%)
  • convert the percentage to odds (70% => 1.43)
  • find a bookie that is offering a significantly better odd (like 1.50-1.55)
  • use a proper staking method: at least flat stakes

Statistics and Predictions First-half

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Sam @ Sportssmartbetting

I have been a professional sports bettor for almost 8 years. This blog was created to share my experience and knowledge. I started building up my betting capital with matched betting, followed by arbitrage betting and switched to full-time value betting. Each software and betting strategy I promote was tested or used for a longer period by myself.