Many football fans gained an insane amount of knowledge and experience only by watching matches, researching news, and stats about players and teams.
Sites that predict football matches fairly correctly are available for many years. I have used many similar software. The only way using them correctly for long term profits is by applying a proper staking plan and always betting on the highest odds possible.
Below you can find my top 3 recommendation for sites that predict football matches fairly correctly:
Tipstrr offers a platform where tipsters can’t manipulate their betting history. Each stat is reflecting their real result.
Free & Paid Predictions
- Zcode Scores Predictor is using advanced scores prediction formula that takes into account 80+ parameters
- Optimized on the historical data to perform 10,000 simulations of the game and predict the anticipated scores.
$7 – Trial
Displays detailed statistics about future football events based on historical data. It can backtest the profitability of your betting strategy.
7-day free trial!
- Sites that predict football matches correctly
- How to predict football matches correctly?
- 1. Predicting a football match by knowing the teams and players
- 2. Predicting matches by getting professional in only certain leagues
- 3. Predicting football matches correctly by placing less bets and focus on real value
- 4. Betting in-play for more correct football prediction
- 5. More accurate predictions by knowing the line-ups and the players
- 6. Know the motivation of teams: more correct predictions
- Are football tipsters legit and predictable?
- Are football tipsters & prediction sites legit?
- Are football tipsters predictable and profitable?
- Who is a good tipster for football?
- Use proper prediction services for statistics
- How do you predict a football match and win?
Sites that predict football matches correctly
In my experience, some bookmakers have the experience and information to become the best at predicting the outcome of a match. But even they can be beaten!
Before reading about these sites you might want to check my article about the best betting sites with Asian handicaps. Some of them are offering insane bonuses.
1. Football tipsters with good results and long betting history
Many skilled bettors have opened an individual account at tipster platforms like Tipstrr. Some of them can be followed even for free!
If you are picking the right person to follow:
- Min nr. of tips in history: over 200-300
- Min odds: over 1.6
you can’t get wrong with the top tipsters.
The upside of this service is that every individual tipster is forced to offer quality service that is also profitable. This is their only way to keep them as returning subscribers.
You can also check my Tipstrr Review.
I think paying 10-25 euros for quality tips from them is worth a hundred times more than those tipsters from Facebook and Instagram ads.
The only tipster service I’m comfortable promoting is Tipstrr. Their interface is allowing you to choose someone who was profitable even in the long run.
These tipsters are motivated to offer quality predictions because that is their only way to get followers and keep them returning.
Sometimes it can be hard to find a reliable tipster you can follow in the long run. Most of them are influenced by feelings or motivated to make money on affiliate signups to bookmakers.
2. Football matches predicted based on historical data
The best route to follow is using applications or websites that are offering statistical data and alert services based on overpriced markets.
A good example is Play the Percentage. They are displaying accurate predictions shown in percentages. These stats can be found in almost every market. Down below you can see the random football match I have selected.
Do you think it’s promising? Well, this is only 5% of what Play the Percentage is able to offer.
Check my detailed review of this football statistics database.
After subscribing you will get access to their betting strategy which:
- has generated 18 thousand of Pounds sterling profits in 8 months
- based on 4000 bets
- it’s based on statistics from their site
- proved with a complete history in an excel file – matches + stakes)
Don’t miss the opportunity of trying them right now for free!
If you are betting as a hobby, then following prediction sites and tipsters is a viable option. But when your intentions are to generate profits in the long term too. That’s why a betting activity based on mathematics is the real key to success.
I’ve been betting for almost 8 years and in my experience, my strategies are as successful as my sources of data.
And to be honest, these days the most accurate data seems to be the one offered by programs and robots. If their algorithms are functioning properly, then you can expect a growing income.
A very similar football statistic service is StatisticSports. They have a different and more advanced way of approach to statistical sports betting. This service also has historical data from tens of thousands of matches each year.
Their software is capable of backtesting your football betting strategy. It will check if your football betting strategy for first-half corners, goals, etc. would be profitable in the long run. This test is based on tens of thousands of matches and odds.
StatisticSports is also offering in-play signals based on your pre-selected filters. You can get notified about matches that have many corners, many goals, many dangerous attacks, etc.
3. Pinnacle sports – most accurate football match predictions
The best sites & platforms are Pinnacle Sports or bettors on exchanges like Betfair. They can predict the outcomes the most accurately. Both platforms contain odds that are close to real possibility.
If you find sites that are offering tips and predictions with odds very close to their true probability (at sharp bookmakers) you can have a chance to beat the bookmakers.
But honestly, I would suggest stopping following these kinds of services. A lot of them were created only for the purpose of getting clients and generating money.
How to predict football matches correctly?
Being familiar with statistics and probably with bookmakers and odds too can mean advantage over bookmakers if this experience is used in the right way.
If you are interested in sports betting and you are trying to make profits from it, you are in the right place.
I will show you several proven football betting systems that can make you guaranteed profits even in the long run.
Predicting a football match accurately is not an easy task. Even professional tipsters or experienced bettors need to follow some steps to correctly predict the winner of a match.
1. Predicting a football match by knowing the teams and players
If we are speaking about predicting a football match only based on our knowledge and statistical data, the right source for information is an essential element.
Being profitable in the long run means that your betting strategy can offer more accurate results than the odds offered by bookmakers.
Some bookmakers are almost unbeatable in calculating the real possibility of a winner. Their odds can be so accurate that even a profit margin of 2 can be achievable for them.
This kind of bookmaker is Pinnacle Sports. Most tipsters and smarter punters are basing their strategy on the lines and odds offered by Pinnacle.
But even with these true odds, you can take advantage of your knowledge. Knowing the strengths and weaknesses of players can offer you a big advantage in live betting.
While the match is in play you can look at the stream and can check how the players are performing.
2. Predicting matches by getting professional in only certain leagues
Concentrating your time and knowledge on every league and player could be a waste of time.
A lot of factors are changing rapidly, and it would take too much effort to follow every change.
A lot of professional tipsters and smart bettors are recommending learning and developing deep knowledge in a single league or in a small number of leagues.
This attitude and strategy will help you to research more statistics, watch more matches, and to find more information in that certain league.
Think about it!
If you research every information about players that will play in the future matches, and you follow the statistics too for a longer period, you will almost feel who has the bigger chance to win.
Predicting a football match is not only based on statistics, the information you find on the internet, and the true odds.
These factors are very important in the long run and will offer a strong basis for your betting strategies and your success.
But in my experience, having the knowledge and the years of experience by watching matches on stream and betting on them can offer you some kind of sense for predicting the real winner.
I’ve placed a lot of bets on basketball and I’ve watched a lot of matches in almost every league possible.
From the smallest teams to the NBA, I’ve watched all of them and after 1-2 years of betting, I started to realize that I’m gaining more and more knowledge in some leagues.
For example, my favorite leagues were German, Italian, and Spanish. Only by watching the streams and how the players perform do I come to know the real value of an over/under bet.
3. Predicting football matches correctly by placing less bets and focus on real value
Some betting strategies like finding arbitrage bets or value betting require a big volume to generate decent profits. Following value betting strategies is almost identical to predicting outcomes by yourself.
It is based on finding odds and lines overpriced. Bookmakers are making a lot of mistakes because new information appears and they can’t be fast enough every time.
Every time they are a little bit late and they are not dropping the odds at certain markets, smart bettors are taking advantage of them.
Predicting an outcome accurately is not the right way to follow every time. Mathematical betting strategies will always outperform tipsters and experts, at least 99.99% of them.
Bookmakers can make big profits or losses depending on how correctly they can define odds. When so much money is in play, you can imagine that they will make any effort possible to make those odds as sharp as it is possible.
So, finding outcomes that are at wrong odds compared to these sharp bookmakers will guarantee a mathematical edge over bookies in the long run.
With this betting technique, you don’t need to have too much experience and knowledge in sports. You just need to know which bookie is offering very accurate odds and have to find another one that is making mistakes compared to them.
Value betting requires a bigger volume so mathematics can increase the chance of being really profitable.
On the other hand, if you want to take picks by yourself and use these sharp odds only for guiding you need to focus on quality over quantity.
Figuring out how to win in football betting seems some kind of art. A lot of bettors proved that being smarter than the bookmakers is possible.
Bookies are using algorithms for creating and offering odds. And sometimes while betting in-play you can have an advantage over them if you can spot opportunities that a bookie will realize way later.
Concentrating on these opportunities will help you generate profits in the long run. Taking bets that are holding real value is the best route if you want to predict the outcomes by yourself.
4. Betting in-play for more correct football prediction
In my experience beating the bookmakers, in the long run, is not an easy task.
Before the start of the match, most of them are offering odds very close to real probability. Some bookies are very sharp and the odds offered by them will be copied by most bookies.
So, after a very short time, you will find out that most bookies are offering odds very similar to each other. In pre-match betting, the real chance to remain profitable in the long run is by using odds comparison sites.
This way you can see any discrepancy, any difference between bookmakers. I strongly believe that in pre-match betting the only viable way of beating the bookies, in the long run, can be based on mathematics.
Taking wrong odds will guarantee an edge over bookies and will generate profit for you.
No matter how accurately you can predict an outcome, bookmakers have more resources. They can use it to analyze matches and to gather information about players and teams.
This information and their profit margins are included in the odds offered so if you place bets before the match you will most probably play their game.
I’m not saying that it is possible to beat them before the match only by analyzing statistics and knowing a lot of information about the team. I’m saying that it is very unlikely to predict an outcome more accurately than most bookmakers.
If you are aiming for pre-match betting, I suggest following bookmaker scanner services and taking overpriced odds.
Betting in-play, on the other hand, will generate a lot of moments when your analysis of players and the possible outcomes can shine.
In-play betting is the best possibility for punters who want to predict matches by themselves. A lot of action, injury, cards, or goals can happen that cannot be foreseen.
These moments or trends will offer an advantage over bookmakers.
With a short example: you are analyzing a match with statistical tools. You make a conclusion that in the first half it has an 85% – 90% chance of at least 4 corners being scored.
Bookmakers are giving an odd that is too low, so placing the bet pre-match would be a waste of money.
The match starts, and you see that the teams are performing well. In the minute of 35-37, the teams have only 3 corners in total.
Based on your pre-match prediction, there should be at least 4 corners in the first half.
If you watch the stream and the teams are pushing for a goal, the playstyle is very fast and aggressive. They have a lot of dangerous attacks, you can foresee that a new corner is very possible.
Taking the right odds at this moment is very crucial. Even the best and most accurate prediction can lead to a long-term loss if the odds were not high enough.
Taking odds above 1.70 – 1.80 will guarantee that you can recuperate a possible loss fairly fast without risking having too long losing streaks.
5. More accurate predictions by knowing the line-ups and the players
Placing bets only based on your prediction CAN be profitable. I personally know bettors, very successful in the long term too. It’s only because they have a lot of knowledge and they know how to analyze statistics.
The more you know about a team and about players, the more correct predictions you can have. Analyzing statistics before the match most of the time is based on historical data.
A lot of the time these statistics do not include the present lineups and injured players or the ones not playing.
If you are following statistics like this, you can have a big surprise when even the “best bet” won’t be a winner. Some players can have a big impact on the chances to win an outcome.
This is a big reason why the odds are moving so much right before the match. After the bookmakers get the final lineups the possible outcome can change a lot.
This is another reason why I highly recommend taking bets only in-play. If you have enough knowledge about players, you can make conclusions about pre-match analyzes.
You can learn how accurate those predictions were and you will have more chances to make the right choices.
Researching information about injury lists, missing player lists or any vital info, like changes in the team management will have a big impact on your success.
Knowing this information before the start will help you to predict more correctly the outcomes after using statistical software too.
6. Know the motivation of teams: more correct predictions
On the other hand, the motivation to win a match can lead to big differences between teams.
Most prediction sites and software are not taking this into consideration, which will have a big impact on your results.
If a team has already got enough points to easily win the championship, most probably their playstyle won’t be so aggressive.
Some teams for example, from time to time don’t have enough financial resources to pay their players.
Think about it, would you give 100% of your power and knowledge in a match when your salary wasn’t paid for several months?
Well, some committed and professional players are still playing at 100%, but a lot of them can lose their motivation.
A simple statistical site won’t include this information in its predictions, which will cause big differences in results.
Are football tipsters legit and predictable?
Not every free or paid football tipster site and tipster is legit and predictable. But you can find some profitable tipsters for sure.
If they can prove that their betting history is extended enough, they can be legit too. Their betting performance can be predictable in the long run.
Tipsters, in general, are having an important place in the industry of sports betting. Most of us were in an unpleasant situation when we wanted to try sports betting because, without any experience, it’s more like gambling.
Back in 2013 when I started to learn about sports betting, my first step was to follow some tipsters.
What is a football tipster?
These days almost anybody can be a football tipster who is offering betting advice, suggestions, and tips for football events.
Most tipsters start their activity by offering free advice on free platforms. Sadly, most of them are just motivated football fans, hopefully with substantial experience and knowledge about football teams and players.
The success and profitability of a tipster can be determined by the return on investment (ROI), which is the most accurate indicator of success.
Are football tipsters & prediction sites legit?
The main problem with being a tipster is that anybody can claim to be a professional in giving betting advice.
The only thing needed for a motivated football fan to become a tipster is to set up an account at some tipster sites or make a well-designed website.
Making social media accounts and paying for some ads can already put you on the map as a football tipster.
We all have seen these kinds of tipsters or sometimes scammers, who are willing to say and make proof about anything to get your trust and your money.
On the other hand, you can find some really experienced and skilled tipsters who can bring a real difference to your betting results.
If you want to find legit football tipsters, you need to check the following points:
- How long is their betting history
- Whether you can find real social proof about their betting activity
The first and most important thing to check is the social proof about the tipster’s website and the tipster too.
Some comment screenshots on the website’s landing page or social proof section are not what I meant. Those proofs are very easy to edit from fake photos.
Even social media comments are not enough for trustworthy proof. You can easily pay someone to get these dummy comments.
I think that the best way to get credible proof about a service is by researching in forums, blogs, Facebook, and Reddit groups that are not related to them.
Recently I found some comments about Blogabet, which is a service you have probably already heard of. They are giving the interface for tipsters for displaying their picks.
The user posted the following about Blogabet:
A lot of the tipsters are manipulating results to have higher ROI:
- Changing staking systems after 1-2 months so the site will display higher ROI than the realistic one
- Taking picks right before a goal. So, in the statistics, it will come out as a winning bet, but a follower could never place these bets
- Taking odds and picks before the bookie posts the odds for that match The other drawbacks of following tipsters:
- Most of the time you can’t catch the bets on the same odds, which can result in your loss
- If the tipster is successful, the number of followers is higher. This results in a faster drop in the odds on the picks. Even if you have automatic bet placement, the chance of catching every bet on the same odds is not too high.
Placing bets after tipster predictions can be viable only if you are catching almost every bet on the same or higher odds.
Are football tipsters predictable and profitable?
I think this is the most interesting and most controversial question on this topic. Some football tipsters can maintain a decent level of ROI in the long run.
They even can have trustworthy proof about the performance completed. But the answer to this question is not a simple yes or no.
To evaluate the profitability and predictability of a tipster you need to check some really important factors:
The whole betting history of the tipster:
- First of all, how long is their betting history? You can find a lot of tipsters who seem to be the best of the bests for around 1-2 years, which might seem very good. But in this industry, the fact that you are profitable for 1 year is not real proof of being constant in the long run too.
- The number of tips in the betting history is the other big factor. Some tipsters are profitable for 2 years, but with only 60 picks and that performance has no real credibility
The average odds provided:
- Betting on lower odds is more predictable. By this, I mean odds between 1.6-2.30 for example
- On the other hand, picks on higher odds can cause a bigger variance, which can be profitable in the long run, but it is less predictable
A good way of checking if the tipster is predictable and is on a good road is by checking the closing lines and odds at Pinnacle.
For example their closing lines are very close to the real probability, and they can give you a good idea about how much trust you should put in the tipster.
Most profitable bettors in sports betting, in the long run too, are putting their trust in bookmakers with very sharp odds like Pinnacle.
The betting strategy named Value betting is based on finding overpriced markets and outcomes. Permanently these wrong odds can guarantee you to end up in profit.
Betting on higher odds than the Pinnacles closing line is proved to be a money-generating strategy.
A lot of tipsters have their strategy based on this technique, and they can be predictable.
- You find football tipsters with a relatively long betting history and with a decent 3%-5% ROI after 1000+ picks.
- You can be almost certain that their experience and success are based on getting the best odds possible too.
Smart betting with strategies, that can generate profit in the long run too, is based on mathematics.
In my experience and after the opinion of a lot of smart bettors I can say that a betting strategy that is not based on mathematics has a very low chance of being sustainable.
Following tipsters can have the following benefits:
- You don’t need to have too much experience in sports betting
- The tipsters will be the ones to spend the time on researching and not you
- You will use a good money management system
Who is a good tipster for football?
Finding a good tipster that can be followed for a longer period is not easy. Most of them will be influenced by emotions, or they don’t stick to a strategy.
Using common-sense while choosing a tipster is the basis of not getting scammed.
If you find websites with tipsters who are performing very well, you should be a little skeptical.
In this industry, if something looks too good to be true…then most probably it is. Many tipsters are manipulating their result graphs by deleting lost picks or changing the stakes, resulting in better ROI.
For a quick example, I would mention tipsters who are placing bets at Pinnacle and their return on investment is very high, like 15%+.
If you know that a tipster website is giving these kinds of opportunities for tipsters, you should be more careful.
- A good tipster will give only a few picks, and it is possible to even skip some days
- You should find tipsters with a history of more years, most preferably 2+ at least
- The more picks they have, the more trustworthy and predictable they are
- Avoiding tipsters with too high ROI would be a wise idea (the realistic ROI is between 5%-10% at soft bookmakers)
After reading this article you might have the feeling that I’m against tipster services.
Well, to be honest, I don’t like any kinds of betting techniques that are close to the gambling style.
In my experience finding a reliable, trustworthy tipster is a hard task. A lot of them are manipulating the betting history to get more clients.
You need to be fairly experienced to ignore these kinds of tipsters. This is why I only advise using big and reputable platforms like Tipstrr.
Following proven and profitable smart betting strategies is the way of betting that I want to promote.
Any strategy that is profitable in the long-run has my full support. I’m totally against any gambling activity.
Use proper prediction services for statistics
Statistics and historical data are the basis for any kind of prediction in sports betting. The odds and the lines are generated basically from this data.
The more accurately you want to predict an outcome, the more and better statistics you will need. You can find a lot of services that are offering graphs and data about players and teams.
Most of them are very useful and can give you the right direction. But some services are offering even more tools that will give you an advantage over bookmakers.
The volume of data can be very different between services. Some of them are offering numbers only for a few years while others can be an important part of your betting activity.
The more in-depth information service can offer, the higher chances you will have to accurately predict an outcome and remain profitable in the long run.
How do you predict a football match and win?
Predicting outcomes can have other roles than winning a bet. For several betting strategies, like Betfair scalping or sports trading, predicting the possible winner can generate profits in a different way.
These strategies for example are based on small odds movements. A lot of bettors can make a living from knowing which market is most likely to win and this will offer them an edge.
Betting on markets when we expect the odds to drop can generate only small amounts of profits if we are closing our bets in time.
But correctly predicting which side of a market will drop in a shorter period is not an easy task. Betfair scalpers and traders have a fair knowledge of trends, statistics, and techniques to generate small profits from these odds movements.
These small 3 – 5 dollars on each trade can add up to a decent income if you take into consideration that placing 20 – 30 trades a day is normal for an experienced bettor.
Sports betting is offering numerous ways of winning a lot of money.
The main reason for failing to profit from this great opportunity is not following proper strategies based on mathematics and not having the right money management system.
A proper staking strategy will make the difference between very successful and smart bettors who bet on dropping odds and an average one.
By following the right services and learning a lot about sports. Keep reading for more info
The ones with the most accurate information. Keep reading
Learning a lot about a sport and knowing the players plus using the right tools. Keep reading
The main problem with being a tipster is that anybody can claim to be a professional in giving betting advice. Not every one of them is legit.
Some football tipsters can maintain a decent level of ROI in the long run, but not all of them.
You should find tipsters with a history of more years, most preferably 2+ at least.
AI (Artificial Intelligence) can be very accurate in predicting sports results. Even the bookmakers are using similar prediction tools to generate as accurate odds as possible. AI can use historical data and with the right algorithms, it can calculate the statistical possibility of sports results.
StatisticSports and Zcode System are the most accurate prediction sites for football betting. These sites can predict the scores for upcoming events accurately based on historical data and algorithms.