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Whether you are looking for a guide or algorithms to predict football matches correctly here you can find both.
Football prediction algorithms based on odds comparison can offer the most reliable results in the long run.
To properly use these services, below you can find 6 tips on how to predict football matches correctly.
Here are the top 3 sites that I successfully used for football betting with the highest accuracy based on historical data or odds comparison:
Reliable Long-run Profits
RebelBetting
→ Odds comparison tool that scans 100+ sportsbooks from Europe & US;
→ Displays overpriced odds;
→ Mathematically proven to generate profits;
✓ 14-day free trial
#1 Football Prediction Platform
Tipstrr
→ Tipstrr offers a platform where tipsters can’t manipulate their football prediction history;
→ These stats are not manipulated.
✓ Free and paid predictions as well
Odds Dropper Tool
Pinnacle Odds Dropper
→ Alerts you when there is a sudden odds dropping at sharp bookies so you can place bets on local bookies when the odds are still high;
→ Displays betting opportunities with overpriced odds;
The platforms and services I mention in this article are running their services to offer valuable information about upcoming events based on pure stats.
Sites & algorithms for football predictions
Most football prediction algorithms have two main methods to analyze future sports events and calculate their possible outcome. The first and most accurate method of such services is based on odds comparison between sportsbooks.
Another important method of football prediction algorithm is based on analyzing statistics, and historical data.
1. Zcode System – football prediction site
ZCode System is one of the oldest (available since 1999) and the most advanced football prediction site and service.
They have built up a large database of historical football statistics.
These are updated daily with data from tens of thousands of football events each year.
Their football prediction software is capable of using this immense data and predicting football match outcomes with excellent accuracy.
This soccer prediction software has many services that can support various types of betting strategies and goals.
Most of their customers use their notifications and sports betting analytics tools to:
- support their future betting decisions
- and spot new betting opportunities.
ZCode System is one of the best, well-developed football betting analysis software (based on Artificial Intelligence and skilled bettors).
It can offer statistics, trends, historical data, and pretty accurate tips for future events.
Well-developed AI software for sports predictions will be the future of successful sports betting, and some of them are already available.
Beating the bookies based on a sports betting analytics tool and historical data is not enough in most cases if you aim for long-term profitability.
Advantages of the ZCode System:
- Football prediction software and site for better decision-making
- A well-established community and tool
- More accurate tips based on analysis and the best football prediction algorithm
- Affordable tool for professional tipsters, and the lowest price for a quality analysis tool
Downsides:
- Requires a little bit of practice to figure out each of their tools (but you will get a guide for their services)
Recommended for:
- Tipsters who want to have more accurate predictions
- Getting better statistics to help improve the accuracy and profitability of your bets
- If you are looking for prediction software and a community to help you back your decisions up
Why Zcode is better than its competitors?
Zcode has a significant advantage over many of its competitors who are looking for prediction software.
The advantage of Zcode is the community around this software. They help you figure out the tools and also make better betting decisions.
Try them with their $7 trial version!
Read my detailed review of ZcodeSystem in my recommended football stats article.
2. Tipstrr – football predictions by tipsters
Tipstrr is a platform where anyone can post their predictions for football.
A key motivation in following predictions posted at Tipstrr over other services is its policy of not allowing tipsters to manipulate their results.
This policy helps regular bettors find reliable tipsters with a prediction history that reflects many months of making profits.
Check the profile of some football tipsters, and if you spot words such as sharp bookmakers, Pinnacle, sharp lines, and closing odds, you can be sure they are following proven strategies.
They focus on smart betting strategies and offer correct football predictions based on odds and statistics.
If you take a look at this betting history stat, you can notice such constant growth.
Profitable historical data and graphs here are achievable only with the right and truly successful betting approach.
No one is able to see into the future and pick the winner every time. But the overpriced odds and statistics-based predictions will generate an edge over the bookies.
The biggest advantage of this service is that each tipster is forced to offer quality predictions that are profitable at least in the long run.
Offering good results and a predictable long-term betting profit is their only way to keep followers returning.
You can also check my in-depth Tipstrr Review for more info.
Their interface allows you to choose someone who has been profitable in the long run and not only be lucky for 1-2 months.
Sometimes it can be hard to find reliable and hopefully correct football predictions that you can apply in your betting strategy even in the long run.
In my dedicated article about the best sports betting tipster on Tipstrr platform, you can find the best-performing profiles.
For whom do I recommend Tipstrr?
- Bettors who want to find verified tipsters
- Being trustworthy by not letting tipsters manipulate their betting history
- Accurate football predictions by tipsters who follow/post sharp betting opportunities
- Accessible subscription prices. Some tipsters offer free predictions as well.
Similar articles: Best betting tipster service and best NBA tipsters.
3. PlayThePercentage – statistics based football predictions
Websites that offer correct football predictions based only on statistical data and overpriced odds are the best route to success in sports betting.
A good example of these sites is Play the Percentage.
They display accurate football predictions shown in percentages.
These stats can be found for almost every relevant football market.
Down below, you can see a random football match I have selected in their services.
Besides these data, their professional football prediction algorithm is capable of more complicated filtering.
This means finding matches that correspond to your special strategies.
Check my detailed review of this football statistics database.
If you are betting as a hobby, then following football prediction sites and algorithms is a viable option.
But when your intentions are to generate profits in the long term too, you need to focus on tools based on mathematics which is the real key to success.
For whom do I recommend PTP?
- Tipsters who want to find additional and well-organized statistical data for their future predictions
- Analyzing football events and having more accurate predictions to increase long-term profitability
Why PTP is better than its competitors?
Play The Percentage has two main properties that make it a better choice compared to its competitors.
The main factor why PTP is better is they offer statistics-based predictions for a wide range of betting markets on a fair subscription price.
Read more on Play The Percentage in the following football stats article.
4. StatisticSports – historical data based predictions
StatisticSports is better than its competitors when it comes to offering the ability to test your betting strategy and predictions without risking your own funds.
Their software is capable of backtesting your football betting strategy.
It will check if your football betting strategy for first-half corners, goals, etc. would be profitable in the long run.
This test is based on tens of thousands of matches and odds.
StatisticSports is also offering in-play signals based on your pre-selected filters.
You can get notified about matches that have many corners, many goals, many dangerous attacks, etc.
For whom do I recommend StatisticSports?
- Tipsters and prediction services for increasing the accuracy of predictions and backing up decisions
- Bettors who want to test their new strategies without risking money
- Making better decisions and having more accurate predictions with the help of AI-based statistics
5. Pinnacle sports – sharp odds based predictions
Pinnacle is capable of predicting football outcomes with a high accuracy. It offers odds that are closest to the real possibility of its outcome.
Prediction services that offer tips by checking the odds from Pinnacle can have higher accuracy and the chance to beat the bookmakers.
Winning predictions with the help of knowing the sharp lines from Pinnacle is achievable by finding other bookies that offer wrong/higher odds.
Pinnacle changes the odds more frequently and in a more sophisticated way compared to other bookies.
This situation creates odds that include the most information about that outcome.
Predictions based on sharp odds are more profitable when combined with odds aggregator platforms.
How to predict football matches correctly?
To predict football matches correctly, you need to have access to historical data about events and tools that can analyze this database.
Another way to increase your winning rate and have more correct football predictions is by focusing on odds fluctuations.
I will present you with several proven soccer betting strategies that can generate guaranteed profits even in the long run.
Even professional tipsters or experienced bettors need to follow some strict steps to correctly predict the winner of a match/outcome.
To have more correct predictions you need to follow strategies such as the types of value betting. Another method to predict a straight win with decent accuracy is by using value betting software and placing bets with a huge positive EV.
1. Know the teams, at least on a basic level
If we are speaking about predicting a football match only based on our knowledge and statistical data, the right source for information is an essential element.
Being profitable in the long run means that your betting strategy can offer more accurate results than the odds offered by bookmakers.
Some bookmakers are almost unbeatable in calculating the real possibility of a winner in sports. Their odds can be so accurate that offering a profit margin of 2 still can generate long-term profits for the sportsbook.
Knowing the strengths and weaknesses of players can offer you a big advantage in live betting. While the match is in play you can look at the stream and can check how the players are performing.
2. Get professional in only certain leagues
Concentrating on every football league and player while predicting outcomes could be a waste of time. Many factors are changing rapidly, and it would take too much effort to follow each of them.
Focusing only on a few leagues will help you to have more in-depth statistics, watch more matches, and find more information about it.
Predicting a football match is not only based on statistics, the information you find on the internet, and the true odds.
These factors are very important in the long run and will offer a strong basis for your betting strategies and your success.
But having the knowledge and years of experience by watching matches on stream and betting on them can offer you an edge and sense in predicting certain outcomes in sports.
After 1-2 years of betting on football, I started realizing that I was gaining more and more knowledge in some leagues.
For example, my favorite leagues were German, Italian, and Spanish.
Only by watching the streams and how the players perform, I noticed patterns that helped me to find markets where bookies make mistakes constantly.
3. Focus on positive Expected Value
To predict football matches using odds you need to know the real possibility of an outcome and find bookies that offer significantly higher odds.
Some betting strategies like finding arbitrage bets or value betting require a big volume of bets placed to generate decent profits.
Bookmakers are making a lot of mistakes because new information appears and they can’t be fast enough every time.
Every time they are a little bit late and they are not dropping the odds at certain markets, smart bettors are taking advantage of them.
Mathematical betting strategies will always outperform tipsters and experts, at least 99.99% of them.
Bookmakers can make big profits or losses depending on how correctly they can define odds.
Finding outcomes with wrong odds compared to these sharp bookmakers will guarantee a mathematical edge over bookies in the long run.
With this betting technique, you don’t need too much experience and knowledge in sports.
You just need to know which bookie is offering very accurate odds and compare your local sportsbook odds to these sharp lines.
If you want to predict football outcomes by yourself you will need to follow services that can compare odds in seconds.
Figuring out how to win in football betting requires discipline and taking bets that hold real value and can generate profits even when facing big variances.
4. Bet in-play for a more accurate football prediction
Live betting can offer more accurate football predictions because of more information available for sharp bookies.
Before the start of the match, most of them offer odds close to real probability. Some bookies are very sharp and other operators tend to copy their lines.
So, you can easily notice that most bookies offer odds very similar odds to their competitors.
While pre-match betting simple betting odds aggregator site can have a fast enough service to help you find overpriced odds.
This way you can see any discrepancy, any odds difference between bookmakers.
Taking the wrong odds will guarantee an edge over bookies and will generate profit for you.
In-play betting can offer more profits because the change of events and chances of winning can happen from one second to another.
Some sharp bookies can offer fairly accurate odds even in these moments. While others make major mistakes and offer the opportunity to place a football bet on odds higher than its chance to win.
These in-play betting opportunities can be spotted the easiest with the scanner of BetBurger which covers over 300+ sportsbooks. It has an accurate and fast scanning algorithm.
5. Place bets after knowing the closing odds
There are two main approaches for pre-match football predictions based on overpriced odds. The first method focuses on the opening odds and offers odds that are significantly off compared to their true probability.
Focusing on these betting opportunities can lead to fast limitation of your maximum stakes. Bookies are aware of the high chance of offering wrong football odds predictions in this early stage.
For this reason, waiting until they offer the final odds close to the starting point of the football event can lengthen the lifespan of your sportsbook account.
Placing bets based on football prediction algorithms close to the start of the event can also decrease the variance in the long run. Closing odds on football tend to be more accurate so the odds you use are closer to their expected value.
6. Know the motivation of teams
Most football prediction sites and software do not take the motivation of teams into consideration. This can have a big impact on your long-term results.
For this reason, a pre-match football prediction software that uses only statistics will always underperform compared to an odds comparison algorithm.
The latter software indirectly includes information about team motivations. This can increase the accuracy of odds and the overall profitability. This info is already included in the odds offered by sharp bookies.
