Milan vs Salernitana Prediction, match analysis, statistics

Date: 04.12.2021

League: Italy Serie A

Prediction: AC Milan to win with goal handicap of -1.5

Milan has the chance to climb to the first position, in case of a victory with the last ranked. Pioli’s team is one point behind Napoli, who also play on Saturday, but with Atalanta.

The match with Salernitana represents the chance of getting away, because apart from Napoli – Atalanta, Roma – Inter are also playing at this stage.

Salernitana is the last, with fewer and fewer chances to avoid relegation. The distance between Laternitana and a safe position in the league is not so big, in the end, there are only 3 points, but the game of Stefano Colantuono’s team leaves no hope.

In the last 5 stages of the championship, Salernitana scored only one point, and the one with great luck, in the 90th minute of the match in Cagliari (1-1).

The difference between the two teams is huge and I expect to see it from the beginning of the game. I think that Milan will easily impose itself in front of an opponent for whom Serie A seems too hard.

From the PariMatch betting offer, I chose Milan to win with at least two goals difference at the odds of 1.66. (Best odds I could find)

The following statistics and predictions are based on at least 7 past games.

Guide:

  • open a percentage to odds converter
  • find the market you think has high enough chance for your needs (like 60%-70%-80%)
  • convert the percentage to odds (70% => 1.43)
  • find a bookie that is offering a significantly better odd (like 1.50-1.55)
  • use a proper staking method: at least flat stakes

Statistics and Predictions First-half

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Sam @ Sportssmartbetting

I have been a professional sports bettor for almost 8 years. This blog was created to share my experience and knowledge. I started building up my betting capital with matched betting, followed by arbitrage betting, and switched to full-time value betting.