Mathematical betting strategies – Best Way to Profit from Sports

Mathematical betting strategies – Best Way to Profit from Sports

 

Mathematical betting strategies and systems are the smartest ways to generate guaranteed profit from sports betting.

Sports betting and mathematics are in a close relationship with each other. When I started betting, I followed tipsters without any success in the long run.

I tried to research some helpful information about teams and players in the hope of winning on sports betting. After a few months I realized that if a lot of bettors can be successful in the long run, maybe I should learn their ways.

Then I found out that sports betting can be profitable with mathematical betting strategies.

How is math used in sports betting?

Gambling and sports betting are based on mathematical and statistical calculations. Every outcome of every event in sports and in gambling has a real chance of probability.

But first of all, I would like to mention that you don’t have to be afraid of mathematics and statistics in sports betting. It may sound hard to understand, but I will only explain the basics. After that, you can easily learn how to profit from smart betting.

Bookmaker and casino payouts are based on these true chances to win a certain outcome.

Both of them are offering payouts or odds for your bets in such way that no matter if you win or lose if the sum of all bets from all players is distributed in proportion, they will make a guaranteed profit.

In sports betting, bookmakers are defining odds based on statistics. You as a smart bettor have the chance of making money on them with mathematics.

Mathematics in sports betting can be used in several ways.

The two ways I will mention are betting on odds with a higher value than their real probability and placing stakes based on mathematics.

How is math useful in sports?

We already know that bookmakers are generating odds mostly based on statistical data. If their odds are representing the real probability of the outcome to be fulfilled, we as sports bettors have a chance to beat their system.

The only thing that a smart bettor needs to do is to find significantly higher odds than the odds offered by the bookies.

Why?

Well, if you are taking better odds than their real chance to win, in the long run, based on mathematics you will be in profits.

A simple example will clarify what I mean here.

If there is a tennis player who wins 50% of the matches played, the odds for that player would be 2 without the margin of the bookmaker. At the bookmaker, you would see an odd between 1.85-1.93 for this player.

Based on mathematics, if you can find odds over 2 on this player, in the long run, you will be in profit. Half of your bets will be winners, but your payout on every match will be more than twice your stake.

If you place 4 bets, every one of them with odds of 2.05 and you win only two of them you will end up with a profit of 0.1 units.

This betting strategy based on mathematics is called value betting. Besides a lot of techniques for gambling, value betting is the most profitable one.

mathematics and sports betting and gambling

Value betting as a strategy based on mathematics has proved that sports betting can make you a lot of money. I think that the best way to quit a gambling addiction is not by trying to quit but by doing it in a way that generates profit from it.

Value betting has a downside too, which is named variance.

Mathematically speaking in sports betting the chance of winning a bet with a real probability of 50% does not mean that your every second bet will be a winner.

In a coin toss, you have 50%-50% to guess the right side of the coin that will be the upside. But in reality, you can toss the coin 5 times and you can get heads every time…and later toss it 5 times again and you will get tails.

You get it right?

You will face the same situation in sports betting too.

The mathematical chance of winning your bet will only be 50% in the long run, which means 6 bets or even 20 bets too.

If you want to be a winner in gambling your goal should be to find strategies with payouts higher than the real probability. This could seem hard to learn, but in reality, smart betting strategies are not so hard to learn.

The hardest part is to find out that there are ways to make guaranteed money from betting. That part you already completed, because you are reading this article.

If you want to find out how to find value bets and how to learn value betting strategies, you can read these articles.

A lot of bettors already made a big amount of money from betting based on mathematics so you have to learn it and make the same.

Mathematical Betting Strategies

The most successful mathematical betting strategies are based on finding overpriced odds and betting on them with the right staking plan. The best mathematical systems for betting are: matched betting, arbitrage betting, value betting, and trading.

1. Arbitrage betting

One of the less risky betting techniques is also based on these wrong odds and mathematics.

It is called arbitrage betting.

In short, the strategy stands from finding overpriced outcomes at bookmakers. Betting on them, and covering the other outcomes at other bookmakers on normal odds.

Arbitrage betting is a guaranteed way of making money from sports betting based on mathematics only, without gambling. 

Pinnacle Sports is the best bookmaker for arbitrage betting. Their odds are the best at the moment. I’ve been using them for almost 8 years and I think I couldn’t been this successful without them.

Every time a bookmaker is making a mistake and offering an overpriced odd for an outcome, you can generate a guaranteed profit.

You might think it is hard to find these opportunities. But a lot of websites are offering scanning services.

They are crawling almost every bookmaker to find wrong odds.

You can check the following page where you can find all of my arbitrage/value betting scanner service reviews

But if you are looking for the best scanner for in-play betting check my BetBurger review. 

If you click on the following links, you can read my review about two cheap/accessible Arbitrage scanner services.

ArbMate review! Breaking Bet review!

2. Matched betting as a sports betting strategy based on mathematics

You probably already heard about matched betting.

It is one of the most beloved betting techniques with a guaranteed way of making good profits. Bookmakers are offering bonuses to attract the attention of every possible consumer.

No matter if they are gambling addicts or simple punters, their biggest goal is to make you deposit money and keep you active.

Matched bettors on the other side have developed a system to exploit these bonus offers and to convert them into real withdrawable money.

This smart betting strategy is also based on mathematics and is very similar to arbitrage betting. The only difference here is that matched bettors are placing arbitrage bets with 0% return or with a little under 0%.

Wagering money this way will allow you to complete the roll-over requirements without losing money at all.

3. Value betting

As I already mentioned Value betting is one of the most profitable mathematical betting strategies.

The basic idea is very similar to arbitrage betting. You have to find outcomes and matches where bookmakers are making mistakes.

These opportunities will offer you an advantage over bookmakers.

The only real and sure way to beat the bookmakers is to place bets on odds where the real probability of an outcome is lower than the odds.

If you are following this simple rule, you will be profitable in the long run. I’ve been using this mathematical betting system for long years.

Betting as a living is not easy, but based on my example it is possible. Understanding the mathematics of sports betting is not simple for everyone.

But learning strategies like value betting is the surest way to win in the long run too.

The following article is a detailed review of RebelBetting.

They are scanning bookmakers for overpriced markets.

Their sure betting and value betting service helped thousands of bettors to generate a lot of profits.

For bettors from the US or Canada, I suggest taking a look at my review about OddsJam.

This could be your first step for making thousands a month from sports betting.

3. Trading and scalping at Betfair

Both of these techniques are mathematical and guaranteed strategies to generate profits.

Thousands of bettors are successfully making a decent income from exchanges like Betfair. The biggest advantage of these strategies is sustainability.

If you are using Betfair, you don’t have to be afraid of getting limited or banned for winning too much. Unfortunately, most bookmakers don’t like winning players.

If you are interested in Betfair scalping, you can read the following article I wrote about this topic.

Mathematics and staking strategies in sports betting and gambling

Money management strategies are based on statistical data and mathematics. In the long run, a good staking strategy has a big effect on your winnings.

Even a bad betting or gambling strategy has a very different result if your stakes are chosen well. The role of mathematics in betting strategies is to make your future results predictable and way more consistent.

Following a staking strategy will make your variance in betting less long and smaller too. I think that the best reason for using mathematics at choosing odds and stakes is to avoid human error.

No matter what kind of betting strategy you use, if you let your feelings lead, your profits will be lower or you can end up at a loss.

Even some value betting strategies can’t guarantee good profits in the short run. But combining mathematics in the searching of odds and in the stakes too can significantly increase your advantage against bookmakers.

Feelings can change your betting behavior, but good strategies based on statistics are profitable in every situation.

math and sports betting and gambling

Are mathematicians good at gambling?

I think good mathematicians have the knowledge and the intellectual ability to understand the possibilities in gambling and sports betting.

These days you can find a lot of movies about successful sports bettors and poker players or blackjack players who won a big amount of money.

Even in these movies or stories, you can learn some valuable information about the possibilities in these industries. So, the information itself about the possibilities can reach anyone. Mathematicians are in a better position compared to other people.

Their analytical way of thinking and the equations they have learned are putting them at an advantage even against bookmakers.

These facts do not mean that every mathematician is good In gambling or in sports betting. Smart sports betting for example is based on mathematics, but a successful bettor also needs to know every rule, trend, and rule of the sport used.

On the other hand, to be successful in betting I think that in some way you have to like this industry and you have to like sports in general.

So my answer would be that not every mathematician is or can be good at gambling and sports betting, but they have a big advantage while learning it.

FAQ

How is math used in sports betting?

Gambling and sports betting are based on mathematical and statistical calculations. Every outcome of every event in sports and in gambling has a real chance of probability.

How is math useful in sports?

The only thing that a smart bettor needs to do is to find significantly higher odds than the odds offered by the bookies.

Are mathematicians good at gambling?

I think good mathematicians have the knowledge and the intellectual ability to understand the possibilities in gambling and sports betting.

Mathematics and staking strategies in sports betting and gambling

Money management strategies are based on statistical data and mathematics. In the long run, a good staking strategy has a big effect on your winnings.

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