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You can find many guides about football betting strategies teaching you how to win bets, and many of these are sharing useless information.
This article with a list of 13 tips and tricks for betting includes at least six strategies that I used successfully.
To win at football betting you need to use a proven mathematical system based on overpriced odds and wrong lines.
The one and most important thing I want to share with every one of my readers is to stop following the crowd.
How to successfully bet on football and win?
1. Follow only trustworthy tipsters
Beginning the list with this advice might seem trivial.
However, choosing the best tipster sites will have a significant impact on your results.
Many bettors follow fake gurus and tipsters on various social media platforms.
I was surprised when I figured out how easy it is to manipulate a bookmaker’s betting history or photoshop a bet slip.
Still, many newbies can be scammed by these simple tactics.
These days the only natural way of winning on football bets with the help of tipsters is by using trustworthy tipster platforms.
I mean websites like Tipstrr, which proved their importance in this industry.
Tipsters to follow to win in football betting
They offer a place for every professional prediction expert to share their knowledge.
Based on my experience and research about sites that predict matches correctly, they are the best because every prediction and pick they offer is saved in a betting history that the tipster cannot manipulate.
So, if they are profitable in the long run, the track of their bets will mirror it.
On Tipstrr you can find many Free and the best paid tipster services too. Some of them are very successful, realizing profits of over 15000 euros with stakes of 10 euros.
But it would help if you were cautious because many of them had a big success only in the past 1-2 months.
You can also check my Tipstrr Review.
2. Use a detailed football statistics database
The bookies have their football statistics databases, and they are calculating and generating odds based on these statistics.
Why would you miss the opportunity to use similar databases for your strategy?
Making money by wagering on football is not an easy task, and without the right tools, it’s almost impossible.
I tried three different strategies at good Asian handicap bookies and I noticed that most of them are offering too high corner odds.
In most cases, the bookies are not taking every stat and change into consideration.
Just by watching a match, I noticed many cases like dangerous free-kicks that ended up in corners.
With the right bookie and statistic tool, you can forecast the real value of odds.
Back in 2019, I found a website with a detailed football statistics database.
StatisticSports is analyzing data from tens of thousands of football matches each year.
Their statistics and predictions are based only on mathematics and statistical probability.
The data they provide will not include any personal opinion, only pure data.
Based on my experience, this way of getting data for your football bets will consistently outperform the average tipsters.
Your task is to find matches with a long enough history in their tools (more than 9-10 matches in the current season).
After subscribing to their service, you will get access to their tools which can offer the following things:
- In-depth statistics on upcoming events
- Predictions based on AI (artificial intelligence) algorithm
- You can test the profitability of your betting strategies with their backtesting tool
- In-play notification based on your filters
A very similar tool is ZCodeSystem.
They have a different and advanced way of approach to statistical sports wagering. They also get data from each football betting event.
The system at Zcode System is capable of backtesting your football betting strategy.
It will check if your football strategy for first-half corners, goals, etc. would be profitable in the long run.
This test is based on tens of thousands of matches and odds.
ZCodeSystem is also offering in-play signals based on your pre-selected filters.
You can get notified about matches that have many corners, many goals, many dangerous attacks, etc.
3. Use matched betting for bonus offers
The best tip for winning on football I can give is to take advantage of free bets and even bitcoin betting bonus offers.
I’m surprised that so few bettors are taking advantage of this free money.
Every bonus you don’t withdraw is free money left on the table.
The bookies are offering these with bad intentions, and they are not giving gifts when offering them but keeping you active in losing money.
It requires a few simple steps only:
- Find a betting market where the bookie is offering overpriced odds
- Place your first bet on that outcome
- Cover/hedge the other outcome at another bookmaker (most of the time at betting exchanges like Betfair)
You can complete the rollover requirement with these simple steps without risking losing your money and the bonus itself.
Finding these opportunities and choosing the right stakes and odds is not as simple as it sounds here.
Matched betting services like OddsMonkey offer a complete guide for this.
Don’t know how to win at football with matched betting?
Most matched betting software takes care of:
- Scanning the bookies for overpriced markets
- Forwarding you to the bet slip with one click (to exchanges)
- Offering Stake Calculators
- In-depth guide about matched betting and its services
- Free trial – that will allow you to earn more than a one-month subscription for their tools
Take a look at my: OddsMonkey Review for more info.
Hot topic: more and more bookies are getting launched in the USA & Canada with great bonus offers.
Check my articles about matched betting in the USA and matched betting in Canada and start profiting from these bonus offers.
4. Try arbitrage betting for a guaranteed win on football bets
Arbitrage betting is the second strategy that allows you to always win on your football bets.
It is very similar to bonus hunting.
Finding sure bets on football requires the following factors:
- There has to be a big enough odds difference between bookmakers
- In most cases, you need to use an arbitrage bet finder: free or paid – it depends on your goals
- Calculate the proper stakes
- Place a bet on both outcomes so that you can generate a guaranteed profit
Arbitrage betting in the USA got easier with the help of OddsJam.
At the moment they are the most affordable odds comparison site for US & Canada.
This football betting strategy has been working since there was more than one bookmaker.
It’s almost impossible for them to offer the same accurate odds as every competitor.
Smart bettors have been using these easy bets to win money on football for many years.
I started arbing back in 2013, and I was surprised by how easy it was to make a daily 30-40 euros with low stakes.
Successful football betting should be based on mathematical betting strategies or long years of experience to work correctly.
5. Best football betting strategy: Value betting
I’ve been using many football betting systems, but value betting is the most profitable by far.
If you are not covering every outcome of your bets, then winning on football is not easy.
I don’t want to make this topic too long because I already have many articles about this strategy.
Value betting is the most profitable proven football betting system for the following reasons:
- You need to place bets where the bookies offered an overpriced outcome
- By not covering the other outcome, you are taking a risk
- When winning a bet, you are saving the bookmaker commission on the other outcome (by not hedging your bet)
- Based on my wagering history, value betting is 40%-50% more profitable in the long run than arbitrage betting
- You can face winning and losing streaks too, but picking the correct odds every time will guarantee long-term profits
Finding value manually in football requires an experienced bettor.
Fortunately for us bettors, there are many value betting software on the market.
They scan the major bookies and compare their lines with sharp bookmakers.
These bookies can define the true probability of almost every outcome in football and other major sports.
Comparing odds between softer, slower bookies and these sharp ones will show us the best markets to bet on.
If you are interested, you can learn more from my value betting guide and the following article about the top value betting software.
6. Try Betfair trading and scalping on football
Many intelligent bettors can figure out how to win in football with the previous strategies.
But sooner or later, every smart bettor will face limitations and account closures.
The majority of bookmakers don’t like winning players. Is it strange right?
If you want to use your account, you need to lose your money.
Betfair traders or scalpers, on the other hand, have figured out how to use betting exchanges for guaranteed income from football bets.
Successful traders can forecast small odds movements by watching the match or knowing specific strategies.
These platforms take a meager fee from the winning bets, so even the slightest odds-dropping can generate a small profit.
This way of winning in football is based on small profits that can add up in the long run.
If you are interested, you can take a look at it.
7. Try courtside betting
Courtside sports betting is based on exploiting bookie mistakes so that you can get some information faster than the bookies.
This strategy was famous for a long time when many bettors visited sports events (mainly tennis), placing bets from there.
Sometimes these bets are a guaranteed and instant win.
If you can watch an event on a faster stream than the bookies or be present at the match, you can take advantage of these.
For example, a team is scoring a goal, and you instantly place an over bet for that team or on similar markets.
After 4-5 seconds, your bet will be evaluated as a winner.
Courtside betting is not the best strategy for football because of many reasons.
8. Use a proper staking system
I have many articles where I’m writing about the importance of staking systems in sports betting.
A money management system in sports betting can make or break every strategy, even the best one. Unfortunately, I know it from experience.
Some basic staking plans that work:
- Flat staking
- Kelly criterion stake in sports betting
- Using a % of your actual balance
Sounds interesting? Check my sports betting money management article with simulations and more info.
9. Track your bets in a spreadsheet
I have not tracked my bets for many years.
If you have deep knowledge and experience in a sport, you can skip this betting tip.
But tracking your bets even in a simple spreadsheet can help you find errors, mistakes, and bad-performing markets or odds ranges.
A simple example of this is my last year’s basketball gambling activity.
I couldn’t figure out what I was missing or why am I underperforming even in the long run.
It was a lengthy task to complete (several hours), but I made an excellent history in a simple Excel file.
I filtered my bets based on markets, odds, and leagues, and I figured out certain leagues were useless for my strategy.
The situation is the same with football if you want to win in the long run.
Using a matched betting spreadsheet for example is not essential for everyone.
But in value betting, you can increase your profits drastically.
10. Use trustworthy bookies with high odds
Many bettors don’t place enough energy on finding and using the right bookies.
Some of them have a massive amount of promotion on the internet, and you might think they are trustworthy.
But I suggest using only the ones that have a good reputation.
I also mentioned using bookies with high odds, it is a crucial part of every betting strategy.
If a bookie is offering odds with a profit margin of 8%-9%, they have to make a massive mistake to open the possibility of winning your football bets.
11. Know a market inside out
While using one or more of these betting strategies, you will notice some patterns.
In football betting, the bookies make the most mistakes on handicap or corner markets, and some of them can’t offer a match without making some mistakes on these markets.
If you are following a bookie for a more extended period, you can notice and almost forecast these mistakes.
Becoming an expert in football betting requires patience and experience, but it can be a gold mine for many strategies.
12. Take breaks after significant losses
This last part is important football betting advice from me.
Facing a longer losing streak or a big mistake in arbing can force you into bad decisions or even bigger mistakes.
Taking a short pause and getting calm will pay off in the long run.
13. Use crypto bookies with bonus offers
Using cryptocurrencies as payment methods could seem very complicated.
But based on my experience many crypto bookies are trustworthy and offer way higher bonuses and odds than their normal competitors.
For bettors who prefer anonymous bookies for various reasons, these are the perfect solution. Many countries have strict (and sometimes stupid) gambling laws.
I know some countries that have a monopoly gambling law applied.
Offering only one bookie for a whole country with garbage odds is what makes people start looking for crypto sports wagering apps that don’t require ID.
In the EU most bookies are offering welcome bonuses below 100 euros and odds with a house edge of 8%.
I don’t think they can be in real competition with Bitcoin sports bonuses up to $1000 and high odds.
Betting techniques based on mathematics will always generate money in the long run.
