How much money can you make from value betting?

How much money can you make from value betting?

I’ve been value betting for several years now, and there is one question that I had to ask myself very often to max out my betting productivity. To develop my strategy and always perform at the highest level, sometimes I have to ask myself:

How much can you make value betting?

The realistic ROI (Return on investment) you can make on value betting is between 2% – 4% in the long run, in pre-match betting. In live betting, your return on investment can get even up to 7% – 8% depending on your strategy and access to soft bookmakers. If you are underperforming this level, continue reading and probably you will get an answer for the reason.

The main influencing factors of how much money you can make with value betting:

  • How many bookmakers and accounts you have access to
  • The starting bankroll you have for betting purposes
  • Your money management strategy
  • The software you use for scanning bookmakers

How many bookmakers and accounts you have access to

Value betting is a very profitable smart betting strategy. Being this profitable means that after 500-1000 bets your balance at bookmakers will grow significantly.

The one thing bookmakers don’t like is if you are smart enough to beat their odds and win a lot of money. They have algorithms to filter out any smart betting activity.

The first moment when bookmakers flag you as a winning player, no matter the reason, you will face different kinds of limitations. The best scenario you can have is when you succeed somehow to stay under the radar for a longer period of time.

But sadly, if you are a winning player and your balance grows too high, bookmakers will limit your maximum stakes. No matter if they can prove that you are an arbitrage or value bettor, winning players are not welcomed.

Keeping this in mind even at the start of your value betting career, you have to think about different possibilities. As a smart bettor, you have more ways to make value betting sustainable in the long run.

I would like to mention some realistic steps in value betting:

  1. You start value betting with your own bookmaker accounts. You get limited at most of them in some months or a maximum of a year, depending on your betting activity.
  2. The next possible step is a gray area. Using the betting accounts of friends and family can be a sustainable strategy for continuing value betting if you have a lot of friends.
  3. After some years you will feel that you are running out of accounts. The next possible step could be using betting exchanges like Betfair or Asian bookmakers. Both scenarios require a lot of experience to make a profit from value betting. Your ROI from these bookmakers is significantly lower than with soft bookmakers.

My advice is that even at the beginning of the road of value betting you have to think for a lot of steps ahead.

By clicking on the button below you can read my review about one of the best value betting services.

They are offering a 14 free trial period!

RebelBetting review!

The starting bankroll you have for value betting

In general, value betting requires less money to start than arbitrage betting. You don’t need to spread your money to as many bookmakers as in arbitrage betting.

The starting capital for value betting can be even 200-300 euros. But it is important to mention that the more money you are starting your betting activity, the faster and more profit you will generate.

Value betting profits are based on how much money you can roll over in a period of time. For most of the part, your return on your bets/investments will be constant in the long run.

But profits are very dependent on the amount of money you can rollover. If you start with 1000 euros and you can roll it over 50 times in a month, your profit will be 1000 euros on an average ROI of 2%.

But having the possibility to start with 2000 or 3000 euros can double or triple your monthly income.

The more money you have available for value betting, the more value bets you can place without waiting too much for a match to end.

The more bets you place and the bigger stakes you use will increase your income. Time is money, so the highest your hourly profit is, the more it worth staying 8-10 hours in front of the computer.

Money management strategy in value betting

Money management in smart betting strategies has a crucial role. It can make your not-so-good betting strategy a viable source of income or it can ruin even a high ROI value betting strategy.

Choosing the best money management strategy for your bets is not so hard. I think the best method is filling an excel document with the history of your bets and making some calculations. This kind of calculation has saved me a lot of time and answered a lot of my questions.

Some money management simulation in value betting:

Flat staking simulation for value betting with 3% ROI

how much you make with value betting

In this staking simulation, I used a flat stake of 50 units for every bet. My starting bankroll was 1000 units. I ran the simulations with only 500 bets so you can see how a beginner balance can move up and down in a single month.

You can see, that on average the ending balance will be around 1900 units. With this staking plan for value betting your chance of losing all of your money is only 18.95%.

I would suggest using a flat stake of only 4% – 5% of your starting balance to reduce your chance of losing your whole betting balance. With this staking strategy at the end of the month, your balance could be between 290 – 3845 units.

Flat staking simulation for value betting with 5% ROI

how much you make with value betting

Value betting on live matches is highly increasing your ROI without drastically increasing your chance of being limited by the bookmakers.

In this money management simulation, your average ending bankroll can increase to 2440 units with the same number of bets and flat stakes of 50 units.

Your chance of losing the whole bankroll is decreasing from 19% to 9.6% and you have a high, 95% chance of finishing the month with a balance between 665 – 4370 units.

Placing value bets with higher ROI increases profitability and decreases the chance of being in the loss.

Variable staking simulation for value betting with 3% ROI

how much you make with value betting

In this simulation, I used stakes of 5% of my actual betting balance. It can be noticed that the average ending bankroll is higher than at the flat staking method.

But the chance of loss at the end has doubled. The reason is that the more you win with this value betting staking strategy, the more you have to risk as a stake.

With the higher risk comes the chance of winning much more. Your maximum balance with this staking strategy could be even 7800 units at the end of the month.

Variable staking simulation for value betting with 5% ROI

how much you make with value betting

The bigger value bets you place with % based staking strategy the higher the returns are. With this money management strategy, your winnings can be way more than with flat staking.

You can see that the chance of losing 70% of your bankroll is decreasing if you place bets with a bigger value. The average ending bankroll can get to 3900 units and your maximum balance can get up to 13000 units at the end of the month.

You have to notice that this staking strategy can make this strategy very profitable. But we have to face that the chance of variance is highly increasing.

If you click on the following links, you can read my review about two cheap/accessible Arbitrage/value betting scanner services.

ArbMate review! Breaking Bet review!

 

My money management strategy for value betting

I like to combine the flat staking strategy with the variable one. I’m starting every account with flat stakes of 5% – 6% of my balance and as the balance grows I’m increasing the stakes.

For example: If I have a balance of 1000 units, I start with stakes of 50 units. When the bankroll grows to 1500 for example, I start using stakes of 70 units.

With this staking strategy I’m scaling up my winnings but without the risk of losing too much.

The value betting software you use for scanning bookmakers

For beginners, I suggest using software with a fair monthly subscription price (30-100 euros) specialized in value betting. Using a scanner service is making your work easier and lowering your risk of placing bets without values.

By clicking on the button below you can read my review about one of the best value betting services.

They are offering a 14 free trial period!

RebelBetting review!

If you are looking for a more accessible betting software you can read my reviews about ArbMate or BreakingBet.

Bettors from the US or Canada can have access to a scanner service that is including the bookmakers available for them.

Click here to read my review about the best service for them.

The only thing you have to set up is the bookmakers you are using. There is the opportunity to use arbitrage betting scanners where you can set up the filters.

These scanners are more useful for someone with more experience. Setting up filters in a bad way can have a big impact on your value betting income.

You can read more about value betting in this guide.

If you are interested in other betting strategies have a look at the article about arbitrage betting.

FAQ

How much can you make value betting?

The realistic ROI (Return on investment) you can make on value betting is between 2% – 4% in the long run.

Money management – staking – strategies in value betting

Money management in smart betting strategies has a crucial role. It is one of the main reasons for professional bettors being profitable.

The value betting software you use for scanning bookmakers

For beginners, I suggest using software with a fair monthly subscription price (30-100 euros) specialized in value betting.

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