Prediction: Over 19.5 games
Tournament: WTA – SINGLESFinals – Guadalajara (World) – Play Offs, hard
Kontaveit had already secured the qualification from the first place of the group before the duel with Muguruza so that her level of involvement was no longer at maximum parameters.
Kontaveit remains, even in spite of that defeat, the fittest player of the moment and forwards with big chances in this final.
Muguruza has superior experience on her side when it comes to these major tournaments, and the way she raised her level of play during the tournament has mentally boosted her.
She also has the advantage of fan support, both she and Paula Badosa having Guadalajara fans on their side throughout the week. Both players have served solidly so far during the tournament, with high efficiency on the first serve of over 74%.
In the last two matches, Garbine played excellently with the first ball, winning, on average, 80.5% of the points. We have, therefore, the premises of a balanced duel between two players who evolved at a good level during the week and who presented themselves excellently on their own service.
My prediction: goes over 19.5 games in the game for odds over 1.55
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